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Projected score calculator: final total at the current rate

  

A steady rate to the end of the innings.

Format

runs
overs

Overs.balls, as on a scorecard: 14.3 = 14 overs 3 balls.

Projected score

170

At the current 8.5 an over for the last 10.0 overs.

170Now 8.5180+1 (9.5)190+2 (10.5)

How we got this

  1. Current rate: 85 × 6 ÷ 60 = 8.5
  2. 60 balls left = 10 overs
  3. 85 + 8.5 × 10 = 170

How far to trust a projection

A projection is a straight line. Early in an innings it moves a lot from one over to the next; with five overs left it is a fair guide.

Chasing instead? The required run rate calculator shows the rate needed and how it changes as balls run out.

Projection tables for T10, T20 and ODI

Each table holds the run rate steady for the rest of the innings. A flat 8 an over always ends on 8 × the overs, whatever the stage; what changes is how much of the innings is still to be played, and so how much a single over can move the number.

Pick T10, T20, ODI or a custom number of overs in the calculator above; the format sets the quota of balls the projection runs to.

T20 (20 overs): projected total if the current rate holds
Current rateAfter 5 oversAfter 10 oversAfter 15 overs
6 an over120120120
8 an over160160160
10 an over200200200
12 an over240240240

One-day (50-over) projections

ODI (50 overs): projected total if the current rate holds
Current rateAfter 13 oversAfter 25 oversAfter 38 overs
6 an over300300300
8 an over400400400
10 an over500500500
12 an over600600600

T10 projections

T10 (10 overs): projected total if the current rate holds
Current rateAfter 3 oversAfter 5 oversAfter 8 overs
6 an over606060
8 an over808080
10 an over100100100
12 an over120120120

A worked scorecard example

A T20 side is 87 for 2 after 10.3 overs. That is 63 legal balls, so the current rate is 87 × 6 ÷ 63 = 8.29 an over, with 57 balls left.

At that rate the side finishes on about 166. One run an over faster gives 175, and two runs faster gives 185. Commentators quote exactly this range.

Notice the overs were entered as 10.3, not 10.5. The digit after the point is balls; the overs to balls converter explains why.

Extras, byes and what counts as a ball

Wides and no-balls add a run (plus anything run or hit off them) to the total but are bowled again, so they do not use up a ball of the over. Byes and leg byes do count as legal balls and go into the team total as extras.

So a projection always uses the team total, extras included, and legal balls only. If a scorecard shows 87 with 9 extras, use 87.

Why real totals beat the flat line

Most limited-overs innings accelerate: the powerplay, a quieter middle, then the death overs. Teams with wickets in hand usually beat the flat projection, which is why the +1 and +2 figures are often the realistic ones. A side seven down rarely does.

Chasing? Switch to the required run rate calculator. Building a stand? The partnership calculator shows who is doing the scoring.

Sources

What this calculator does not account for

  • Wickets in hand, which change how fast a side can score.
  • The usual late-innings acceleration.
  • Rain, reduced overs and DLS revised totals.

How this is calculated

Formula: Projected total

projected =runs + rate × balls left ÷ 6

What the symbols mean

  • runsRuns scored so far.
  • rateThe current run rate, or that rate plus 1 or 2.
  • balls leftBalls in the quota minus balls bowled.

Good to know

  • Current run rate = runs × 6 ÷ balls bowled.
  • Real innings usually speed up at the end, so the +1 and +2 bars are often closer than the flat projection.

Read the full methodologyFound an error? Contact us

Worked examples

Each example is worked out by the same code as the calculator above.

T20: 85 after 10 overs

Current rate 8.5. 85 + 8.5 × 10 = 170; at 9.5 it is 180, at 10.5 190.

ODI: 150 after 30 overs, at +2 an over

Current rate 5. At 7 an over for the last 20 overs: 150 + 7 × 20 = 290.

Embed this calculator

The frame shows the tool only.

<iframe src="/embed/projected-score" title="Projected score" width="100%" height="720" style="border:0;max-width:42rem" loading="lazy"></iframe>

Questions

How do TV channels project a score?

They take the current run rate and extend it over the overs left, then show the same total at a few faster rates. This page does the same sum.

Does it account for wickets?

No. Losing wickets usually slows scoring, so treat the projection as a ceiling when a side is several down.

Can I use it for a 50-over match?

Yes. Pick one-day, or set any custom number of overs.

Does the projected score work for T10?

Yes. Choose T10 and the projection runs to 60 balls, the 10 overs of a T10 innings.

What is a par score in T20?

It depends on the ground and conditions. Many grounds see first-innings totals between 150 and 190; a projection near that band is roughly par.

Should I include extras?

Yes. The team score already includes extras. Only legal balls count towards overs, so wides and no-balls do not add to the balls bowled.